% Created by tikzDevice version 0.12.3 on 2021-05-04 14:28:04
% !TEX encoding = UTF-8 Unicode
\begin{tikzpicture}[x=1pt,y=1pt]
\definecolor{fillColor}{RGB}{255,255,255}
\path[use as bounding box,fill=fillColor,fill opacity=0.00] (0,0) rectangle (650.43,325.21);
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] ( 27.96, 39.26) rectangle (209.22,290.65);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{128,128,128}

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.6pt,dash pattern=on 4pt off 4pt ,line join=round] (118.59, 39.26) -- (118.59,290.65);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{248,118,109}

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] ( 92.00, 61.49) -- (141.47, 61.49);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] ( 82.84, 53.82) -- (130.08, 53.82);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (102.81, 92.14) -- (133.81, 92.14);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (103.71, 84.48) -- (135.59, 84.48);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (111.37,122.80) -- (142.73,122.80);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (113.48,115.14) -- (144.71,115.14);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] ( 93.28,153.46) -- (124.92,153.46);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (101.44,145.79) -- (132.87,145.79);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (100.43,184.11) -- (132.29,184.11);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] ( 91.97,176.45) -- (123.68,176.45);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] ( 95.08,214.77) -- (126.80,214.77);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (105.04,207.11) -- (136.88,207.11);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (106.56,245.43) -- (138.13,245.43);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (104.40,237.76) -- (136.19,237.76);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] ( 94.20,276.08) -- (139.65,276.08);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] ( 93.38,268.42) -- (140.72,268.42);
\definecolor{fillColor}{RGB}{248,118,109}

\path[fill=fillColor] (116.74, 67.92) --
	(122.31, 58.27) --
	(111.17, 58.27) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (106.46, 53.82) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (118.31, 98.58) --
	(123.88, 88.93) --
	(112.74, 88.93) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (119.65, 84.48) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (127.05,129.24) --
	(132.63,119.58) --
	(121.48,119.58) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (129.09,115.14) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (109.10,159.89) --
	(114.67,150.24) --
	(103.52,150.24) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (117.16,145.79) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (116.36,190.55) --
	(121.93,180.90) --
	(110.79,180.90) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (107.82,176.45) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (110.94,221.21) --
	(116.52,211.55) --
	(105.37,211.55) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (120.96,207.11) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (122.35,251.86) --
	(127.92,242.21) --
	(116.77,242.21) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (120.29,237.76) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (116.92,282.52) --
	(122.49,272.87) --
	(111.35,272.87) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (117.05,268.42) circle (  4.14);
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (213.72, 39.26) rectangle (394.98,290.65);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{128,128,128}

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.6pt,dash pattern=on 4pt off 4pt ,line join=round] (304.35, 39.26) -- (304.35,290.65);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{0,186,56}

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (252.06, 61.49) -- (344.08, 61.49);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (230.51, 53.82) -- (318.22, 53.82);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (263.00, 92.14) -- (320.32, 92.14);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (244.51, 84.48) -- (303.65, 84.48);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (251.51,122.80) -- (309.49,122.80);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (252.09,115.14) -- (310.07,115.14);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (255.54,153.46) -- (314.24,153.46);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (250.94,145.79) -- (309.22,145.79);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (297.40,184.11) -- (356.28,184.11);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (298.12,176.45) -- (356.89,176.45);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (296.67,214.77) -- (355.27,214.77);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (297.63,207.11) -- (356.75,207.11);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (283.60,245.43) -- (342.20,245.43);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (261.26,237.76) -- (320.10,237.76);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (283.98,276.08) -- (367.91,276.08);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (289.18,268.42) -- (376.70,268.42);
\definecolor{fillColor}{RGB}{0,186,56}

\path[fill=fillColor] (298.07, 67.92) --
	(303.64, 58.27) --
	(292.49, 58.27) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (274.36, 53.82) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (291.66, 98.58) --
	(297.24, 88.93) --
	(286.09, 88.93) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (274.08, 84.48) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (280.50,129.24) --
	(286.07,119.58) --
	(274.93,119.58) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (281.08,115.14) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (284.89,159.89) --
	(290.47,150.24) --
	(279.32,150.24) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (280.08,145.79) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (326.84,190.55) --
	(332.41,180.90) --
	(321.26,180.90) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (327.51,176.45) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (325.97,221.21) --
	(331.54,211.55) --
	(320.40,211.55) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (327.19,207.11) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (312.90,251.86) --
	(318.47,242.21) --
	(307.33,242.21) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (290.68,237.76) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (325.94,282.52) --
	(331.52,272.87) --
	(320.37,272.87) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (332.94,268.42) circle (  4.14);
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (399.48, 39.26) rectangle (580.74,290.65);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{128,128,128}

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.6pt,dash pattern=on 4pt off 4pt ,line join=round] (490.11, 39.26) -- (490.11,290.65);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{97,156,255}

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (459.05, 61.49) -- (509.10, 61.49);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (445.80, 53.82) -- (493.76, 53.82);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (461.96, 92.14) -- (493.28, 92.14);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (451.74, 84.48) -- (484.03, 84.48);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (467.95,122.80) -- (499.66,122.80);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (453.11,115.14) -- (484.70,115.14);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (473.16,153.46) -- (505.16,153.46);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (467.28,145.79) -- (499.11,145.79);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (492.76,184.11) -- (524.96,184.11);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (477.75,176.45) -- (509.82,176.45);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (486.73,214.77) -- (518.81,214.77);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (475.68,207.11) -- (507.90,207.11);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (495.39,245.43) -- (527.32,245.43);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (473.91,237.76) -- (506.09,237.76);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (488.48,276.08) -- (534.41,276.08);

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (463.03,268.42) -- (510.89,268.42);
\definecolor{fillColor}{RGB}{97,156,255}

\path[fill=fillColor] (484.07, 67.92) --
	(489.65, 58.27) --
	(478.50, 58.27) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (469.78, 53.82) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (477.62, 98.58) --
	(483.19, 88.93) --
	(472.05, 88.93) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (467.89, 84.48) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (483.81,129.24) --
	(489.38,119.58) --
	(478.23,119.58) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (468.91,115.14) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (489.16,159.89) --
	(494.74,150.24) --
	(483.59,150.24) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (483.19,145.79) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (508.86,190.55) --
	(514.44,180.90) --
	(503.29,180.90) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (493.79,176.45) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (502.77,221.21) --
	(508.34,211.55) --
	(497.20,211.55) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (491.79,207.11) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (511.35,251.86) --
	(516.93,242.21) --
	(505.78,242.21) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (490.00,237.76) circle (  4.14);

\path[fill=fillColor] (511.44,282.52) --
	(517.02,272.87) --
	(505.87,272.87) --
	cycle;

\path[fill=fillColor] (486.96,268.42) circle (  4.14);
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] ( 27.96,290.65) rectangle (209.22,306.68);
\definecolor{drawColor}{gray}{0.10}

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at (118.59,295.22) {Idealistic};
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (213.72,290.65) rectangle (394.98,306.68);
\definecolor{drawColor}{gray}{0.10}

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at (304.35,295.22) {Belief};
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (399.48,290.65) rectangle (580.74,306.68);
\definecolor{drawColor}{gray}{0.10}

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at (490.11,295.22) {Attitude};
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (  0.00,  0.00) rectangle (650.43,325.21);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{0,0,0}

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at ( 36.20, 28.33) {-0.8};

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at ( 77.40, 28.33) {-0.4};

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at (118.59, 28.33) {0.0};

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at (159.79, 28.33) {0.4};

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at (200.98, 28.33) {0.8};
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (  0.00,  0.00) rectangle (650.43,325.21);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{0,0,0}

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at (221.96, 28.33) {-0.8};

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at (263.16, 28.33) {-0.4};

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at (304.35, 28.33) {0.0};

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at (345.55, 28.33) {0.4};

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at (386.74, 28.33) {0.8};
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (  0.00,  0.00) rectangle (650.43,325.21);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{0,0,0}

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at (407.72, 28.33) {-0.8};

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at (448.92, 28.33) {-0.4};

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at (490.11, 28.33) {0.0};

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at (531.31, 28.33) {0.4};

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at (572.50, 28.33) {0.8};
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (  0.00,  0.00) rectangle (650.43,325.21);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{0,0,0}

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base east,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at ( 23.91, 54.21) {-4};

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base east,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at ( 23.91, 84.87) {-3};

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base east,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at ( 23.91,115.53) {-2};

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base east,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at ( 23.91,146.18) {-1};

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base east,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at ( 23.91,176.84) {1};

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base east,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at ( 23.91,207.50) {2};

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base east,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at ( 23.91,238.15) {3};

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base east,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at ( 23.91,268.81) {4};
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (  0.00,  0.00) rectangle (650.43,325.21);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{0,0,0}

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at (304.35, 17.24) {};

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  1.00] at (304.35,  6.44) { Marginal ATE};
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (  0.00,  0.00) rectangle (650.43,325.21);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{0,0,0}

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base west,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  0.90] at (594.24,215.46) {sender};
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (  0.00,  0.00) rectangle (650.43,325.21);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{0,0,0}

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (601.47,197.08) -- (601.47,208.64);
\definecolor{fillColor}{RGB}{0,0,0}

\path[fill=fillColor] (601.47,202.86) circle (  4.14);
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (  0.00,  0.00) rectangle (650.43,325.21);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{0,0,0}

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (601.47,182.63) -- (601.47,194.19);
\definecolor{fillColor}{RGB}{0,0,0}

\path[fill=fillColor] (601.47,194.84) --
	(607.04,185.19) --
	(595.90,185.19) --
	cycle;
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (  0.00,  0.00) rectangle (650.43,325.21);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{0,0,0}

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base west,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  0.72] at (613.20,200.38) {expert};
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (  0.00,  0.00) rectangle (650.43,325.21);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{0,0,0}

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base west,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  0.72] at (613.20,185.93) {partisan};
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (  0.00,  0.00) rectangle (650.43,325.21);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{0,0,0}

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base west,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  0.90] at (594.24,156.11) {outcome};
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (  0.00,  0.00) rectangle (650.43,325.21);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{248,118,109}

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (601.47,137.72) -- (601.47,149.29);
\definecolor{fillColor}{RGB}{248,118,109}

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.8pt,line join=round,line cap=round,fill=fillColor] (601.47,143.51) circle (  4.14);
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (  0.00,  0.00) rectangle (650.43,325.21);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{0,186,56}

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (601.47,123.27) -- (601.47,134.83);
\definecolor{fillColor}{RGB}{0,186,56}

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.8pt,line join=round,line cap=round,fill=fillColor] (601.47,129.05) circle (  4.14);
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (  0.00,  0.00) rectangle (650.43,325.21);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{97,156,255}

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.9pt,line join=round] (601.47,108.82) -- (601.47,120.38);
\definecolor{fillColor}{RGB}{97,156,255}

\path[draw=drawColor,line width= 0.8pt,line join=round,line cap=round,fill=fillColor] (601.47,114.60) circle (  4.14);
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (  0.00,  0.00) rectangle (650.43,325.21);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{0,0,0}

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base west,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  0.72] at (613.20,141.03) {Idealistic};
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (  0.00,  0.00) rectangle (650.43,325.21);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{0,0,0}

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base west,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  0.72] at (613.20,126.57) {Belief};
\end{scope}
\begin{scope}
\path[clip] (  0.00,  0.00) rectangle (650.43,325.21);
\definecolor{drawColor}{RGB}{0,0,0}

\node[text=drawColor,anchor=base west,inner sep=0pt, outer sep=0pt, scale=  0.72] at (613.20,112.12) {Attitude};
\end{scope}
\end{tikzpicture}
